Interview Challenge 03: Forecasting Model


Date: 2022-08-17
Language: Python
Code Link: Github

Background

This was a take home challenge and given about 1 week to complete

Problem

Objective
The Company has engaged the Advanced Analytics team to forecast total beer market (Company + competitors) for NSW across both the tap and pack market. The forecast has to be monthly volume for the next 12 months.

Context
The output from this model will be compared to the Company’s volume projection created by the sales team to highlight any risk and/or opportunities that the Leadership team needs to be aware of. This will be presented at the Demand Review forum which is held monthly and attended by the leadership team.

Your Task
  • Create an output using Python
  • Prepare a short presentation deck. Some considerations to include in your presentation:
    • Approach and process in tackling this task with Richard to get to a good business outcome?
    • Methodology and assumptions in creating this forecast? (e.g. data sources you would consider and any industry specific nuances)
    • Output from your analysis
    • Anything else you feel is needed so that this deck is suitable to be used as a presentation with the stakeholder
Note: Please feel free to reach out and ask any questions you may have. We are also comfortable for you to make any logical assumptions as necessary.

Guidance
For context- we’re not looking for a super polished presentation deck. We’re interested in understanding your approach, thought process, and ability to formulate ideas/business cases to present to senior stakeholders. Enjoy yourself- we’re glad to have you along ☺

Solution

Solution can be found in the github link.